Game Result Predictions
Friday, February 15
The R1 Prediction calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.
| Final/11Innings | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Nashville, TN | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Illinois State (36-26, Road 20-19) |
27 | 7 | -1.0 | 54% | 13 | ✔ | 7 | -3.0 | 69% | ✔ | |
|
Belmont (27-30, Home 16-17) |
11 | 6 | +1.0 | 46% | Actual: 38 (25) |
4 | +3.0 | 31% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Conway, AR | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Bradley (25-19, Road 14-10) |
5 | 4 | +1.0 | 46% | 9 | ✘ | 3 | +1.5 | 39% | ✘ | |
|
Central Arkansas (32-27, Home 18-11) |
2 | 5 | -1.0 | 54% | Actual: 7 (-2) |
4 | -1.5 | 61% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Dallas, TX | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Kent State (29-24, Road 14-16) |
0 | 5 | +2.0 | 42% | 12 | ✔ | 3 | +5.5 | 22% | ✔ | |
|
Dallas Baptist (43-20, Home 24-7) |
3 | 7 | -2.0 | 58% | Actual: 3 (-9) |
8 | -5.5 | 78% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Jacksonville, FL | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Indiana State (43-18, Road 16-15) |
7 | 6 | -1.0 | 54% | 11 | ✔ | 6 | -2.5 | 65% | ✔ | |
|
Jacksonville (32-27, Home 19-8) |
1 | 5 | +1.0 | 46% | Actual: 8 (-3) |
3 | +2.5 | 35% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Nashville, TN | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Valparaiso (14-36, Road 4-28) |
0 | 3 | +4.0 | 36% | 10 | ✔ | 2 | +4.5 | 26% | ✔ | |
|
Lipscomb (30-25, Home 24-9) |
6 | 7 | -4.0 | 64% | Actual: 6 (-4) |
7 | -4.5 | 74% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Macon, GA | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Evansville (24-29, Road 11-19) |
4 | 4 | +2.0 | 42% | 10 | ✔ | 2 | +4.5 | 25% | ✔ | |
|
Mercer (35-29, Home 18-13) |
5 | 6 | -2.0 | 58% | Actual: 9 (-1) |
7 | -4.5 | 75% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Texas State Tournament - San Marcos, TX | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Nevada (30-26, Neutral 2-3) |
16 | 6 | -1.0 | 54% | 11 | ✔ | 5 | -1.5 | 61% | ✔ | |
|
Missouri State (20-36, Neutral 2-5) |
4 | 5 | +1.0 | 46% | Actual: 20 (9) |
4 | +1.5 | 39% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Thibodaux, LA | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Southern Illinois (26-29, Road 5-18) |
6 | 4 | +2.0 | 42% | 10 | ✘ | 4 | +0.5 | 53% | ✘ | |
|
Nicholls State (26-28, Home 19-11) |
5 | 6 | -2.0 | 58% | Actual: 11 (1) |
5 | -0.5 | 47% | |||